This working paper, The probability of using and residential aged care over a lifetime (Welfare working paper no. 36, 2001), applies life table models to 1999-00 residential aged care data and estimates the probabilities of using an aged care home over a lifetime for Australian men and women at various ages.
This is a revision of a similar analysis published in 1998, The probability of nursing home use over a lifetime (Welfare working paper no. 16).