Projected demand and supply for dental visits in Australia: analysis of the impact of changes in key inputs

Projected demand and supply for dental visits in Australia: analysis of the impact of changes in key inputs

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View other publications by the same authors: Teusner DN, Chrisopoulos S & Spencer AJ.

View other publications in the same subject area: Dental health.

Dental statistics and research series no. 38

How many dentists do we need in Australia to meet the future demand for dental visits and enable people to maintain good dental health? This report provides estimates and projections of demand and supply of dental visits, assessing the impact of changes in policy direction or social and professional trends. A range of scenarios are presented as a means of understanding current and potential future developments, in order to inform policy makers and service provision planning. This policy analysis provides revised assessments of previously published supply and demand projections, giving a vital tool to underpin future decision making.

Authored by Teusner DN, Chrisopoulos S & Spencer AJ.

Published 3 November 2008; ISSN 1449-2008; ISBN-13 978 1 74024 769 6; AIHW cat. no. DEN 171; 108pp.; $25.00

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Also available online at http://www.arcpoh.adelaide.edu.au/...  [external link]

  • Preliminary material
    • (75KB PDF)
    • Title and verso pages
    • Contents
    • Abbreviations
    • Symbols
    • Acknowledgments
    • Summary (HTML)
  • Body sections
    1. Introduction (48KB PDF)
      • 1.1 Purpose of this report
      • 1.2 Overview of previous supply and demand projections
      • 1.3 Policy directions or shift in trends
    2. Overview of supply and demand models (81KB PDF)
      • 2.1 Supply model
      • 2.2 Demand model
    3. Supply of dental visits (223KB PDF)
      • 3.1 Dentist labour force
      • 3.2 Allied dental labour force
      • 3.3 Review of previous dental labour force projections, 2000 to 2010
      • 3.4 Refinement of supply projections
    4. Demand for dental visits (81KB PDF)
      • 4.1 Demand for dental care
    5. Reconciling supply and demand (63KB PDF)
    6. Capacity to supply dental visits: impact of changes in key inputs (225KB PDF)
      • 6.1 Impact of increased numbers of dental graduates
      • 6.2 Changes in numbers of successful ADC candidates
      • 6.3 Changes in dentists� attrition and retention rates
      • 6.4 Shifts in productivity trends
      • 6.5 Summary
    7. Demand for dental visits: impact of changes in key inputs (189KB PDF)
      • 7.1 Shifts in patterns of accessing dental care
      • 7.2 Changes in levels of dental insurance coverage
      • 7.3 Increased access to dental care by regional dwellers
      • 7.4 Summary
    8. Discussion (67KB PDF)
      • 8.1 Revised supply and demand projections
      • 8.2 Further issues
    9. References (37KB PDF)
    10. Glossary (47KB PDF)
  • End matter
    • Appendixes
      1. Dental labour force estimates, 2003 (71KB PDF)
      2. Methods: supply projection model (95KB PDF)
      3. Australian university dentistry course commencements and completions (61KB PDF)
      4. Comprehensive tables of dental labour force and supply projections (751KB PDF)
      5. Australian Bureau of Statistics projected estimated resident population, 2003 to 2020 (Series 8) (200KB PDF)
      6. Methods: demand projection model (69KB PDF)
      7. Comprehensive tables of demand projections for dental visits (62KB PDF)
      8. Projected supply of dental visits by multiple scenarios, 2020 (253KB PDF)
    • List of tables (45KB PDF)
    • List of figures (40KB PDF)