Disability-free life expectancy

  • At birth

    Girls born in 2022 can expect to live 25% (22 years) of their overall life expectancy with disability. Boys born in 2022 can expect to live 24% (20 years) of their overall life expectancy with disability.

  • At age 65 – men

    Men aged 65 in 2022 can expect to live 56% (11 years) of their remaining lives with disability.

  • At age 65 – women

    Women aged 65 in 2022 can expect to live 56% (13 years) of their remaining lives with disability.

Introduction

People in Australia are living longer. How healthy people are in older age matters for overall population health and for the health and care systems.

This page looks at how long people are living in Australia and how this has changed in recent years. It also looks at how many of those years people can expect to live with and without disability.

It is important to understand that disability does not equate to poor health or illness, although a person may have disability and have poor health. Years lived with disability are not less important than years lived without disability. For example, someone may have poor health when a condition first develops, but once it is stable, they may be in good health, especially with the right supports and opportunities to take part in daily life. Disability can also be a positive part of identity, community and belonging.

This part of the report aims to improve understanding of how disability, health, ageing and support needs are experienced across the population. It is intended to inform policy, service design and resource allocation. It should not be read as judging the value of lives lived with disability.

This section should be read with other parts of the report that show the wide range of disability experiences. These include how disability can occur alongside long-term health conditions, pain, changes in ability or movement, ageing, and the need for care and support. Understanding this helps governments plan policies and services that support people’s wellbeing, independence, participation, and ability to live as healthily as possible throughout their lives.

How do we measure life expectancy?

Life expectancy is a common way to measure and assess the population’s overall health. It is expressed as the:

  • number of years a newborn baby is expected to live, or
  • expected years of life remaining for a person at a given age.

Life expectancy is estimated from population death rates. It is the expected number of years of life left for a person at a particular age if death rates do not change. More information on life expectancy can be found in life expectancy and deaths.

This page also presents 4 measures of how many years, out of their total life expectancy, a person can expect to live:

  • with disability
  • with severe or profound disability (a subset of years of life with disability)
  • without severe or profound disability 
  • without disability (a subset of years of life without severe or profound disability).

These estimates have been calculated using the Sullivan Method (Sullivan 1971). This method calculates the average number of remaining years, at a particular age, a population can expect to live with or without disability. 

More information can be found in Life expectancy and disability in Australia: appendixes A–C

Data note

Life expectancy estimates on the page were calculated by the AIHW. In calculating these numbers, several data sources were used. For historic data (2003 to 2018), unpublished ABS abridged life tables were used with unpublished age- and sex-specific disability prevalence rates from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Survey of Disability, Ageing and Carers (SDAC). For the latest data (2022), publicly available ABS life expectancy numbers were used together with the ABS SDAC detailed microdata. 

More information about the SDAC, including the concepts of disability, disability groups, and remoteness categories used by the SDAC can be found in Data sources

At birth

Boys born in 2022 can expect to live an average of around 81 years. Of this time, an estimated:

  • 62 years will be lived free of disability
  • 20 years will be with disability, including around 7.6 years with severe or profound disability (Figure LIFE EXPECTANCY.1).

Girls born in 2022 can expect to live an average of around 85 years. Of this time, an estimated:

  • 64 years will be lived free of disability
  • 22 years will be with disability, including around 9.1 years with severe or profound disability (Figure LIFE EXPECTANCY.1).

For people born in 2022, this equates to living around one-quarter of their life with disability (24% for males and 25% for females) (Figure LIFE EXPECTANCY.1).

Figure LIFE EXPECTANCY.1: Expected years with and without disability and total life expectancy, by sex at birth, for people born in 2022

Column chart showing total life expectancy at birth and the numbers of expected years of life without disability, with disability, and with severe and profound disability, for males and females. 

Select view

Source: AIHW analysis of ABS 2019a, 2019b, 2023, and 2024. Data tables: Disability-free life expectancy, Table DFLE1.

https://www.aihw.gov.au/

At age 65

Focusing on health expectancy at age 65 is a useful measure for monitoring healthy ageing within the population.

Men aged 65 in 2022 can expect to live, on average, another:

  • 8.9 years without disability (Figure LIFE EXPECTANCY.3)
  • 11 years with disability, including around 4.6 years with severe or profound disability (Figure LIFE EXPECTANCY.4).

Women aged 65 in 2022 can expect to live, on average, another:

  • 10 years without disability (Figure LIFE EXPECTANCY.3)
  • 13 years with disability, including around 6.4 years with severe or profound disability (Figure LIFE EXPECTANCY.4).

For people aged 65 in 2022 this equates to living just over half of their remaining lives with some level of disability (56% for both men and women).

Figure LIFE EXPECTANCY.2: Expected years with and without disability and total remaining life expectancy, by sex at birth, for people aged 65 in 2022

Column chart showing remaining life expectancy at age 65 and the expected remaining years of life without disability, with disability, and with severe and profound disability, for males and females.

Select view

Source: AIHW analysis of ABS 2019a, 2019b, 2023, and 2024. Data tables: Disability-free life expectancy, Table DFLE2.

https://www.aihw.gov.au/

Throughout life and over time

As individuals age, the number of years they can expect to live without disability reduces. Over time, however, the number of estimated years living without disability at any age has increased for men and women (Figure LIFE EXPECTANCY.3).

Men aged:

  • 25–29 in 2003 can expect to live an additional 37 years without disability, increasing to 40 years for men of that age in 2022
  • 50–54 in 2003 can expect to live an additional 17 years without disability, increasing to 19 years for men of that age in 2022
  • 75–79 in 2003 can expect to live an additional 3.3 years without disability, increasing to 4.2 years for men of that age in 2022.

Women aged:

  • 25–29 in 2003 can expect to live an additional 40 years without disability, increasing to 42 years for women of that age in 2022
  • 50–54 in 2003 can expect to live an additional 18 years without disability, increasing to 20 years for women of that age in 2022
  • 75–79 in 2003 can expect to live an additional 4.0 years without disability, increasing to 4.8 years for women of that age in 2022.

Figure LIFE EXPECTANCY.3: Expected years without disability, in 2003 and 2022, by age group and sex at birth

Column chart showing how the remaining expected years of life without disability at any given age changed between 2003 and 2002, for males and females. 

Select view

Source: AIHW analysis of ABS 2019a, 2019b, 2023, and 2024. Data tables: Disability-free life expectancy, Table DFLE3.

https://www.aihw.gov.au/

Sex gap in life expectancy

Females generally have a longer life expectancy. They can expect to live longer with and without disability compared to males.

Sex gap in life expectancy

Sex gap in life expectancy is the difference in life expectancy for males and females. It is calculated by subtracting expected years of life for males from expected years for females. Positive gap means that females have longer life expectancy, and negative gap means that males have longer life expectancy.

The sex gap in total life expectancy has narrowed between 2003 and 2022, indicating greater gains in life expectancy for males than for females over this period:

  • for example, females who were 0–4 years in 2003 can expect to live 5 years longer than males, while females aged 0–4 in 2022 can expect to live 4 years longer than males. This indicates that the sex gap in life expectancy has decreased by 1 year for this age group (Figure LIFE EXPECTANCY.4).

The sex gap in the expected years without disability has also narrowed during this time:

  • for example, females who were 0–4 years in 2003 can expect to live without disability for 3 more years than males. Females aged 0–4 in 2022 can expect to live without disability for 2 more years than males. This indicates that the sex gap in expected years without disability has decreased by 1 year for this age group (Figure LIFE EXPECTANCY.4).

However, the sex gap in expected years without severe or profound disability has somewhat increased:

  • for example, females who were 0–4 years in 2003 can expect to live without severe or profound disability 2.2 more years than males. Females aged 0–4 in 2022 can expect to live without severe or profound disability 2.5 more years than males. This indicates that the sex gap in expected years without severe or profound disability has increased by 0.3 years for this age group (Figure LIFE EXPECTANCY.4).

This last finding is likely the result of changes in prevalence of severe or profound disability, depending on sex and age group.

Figure LIFE EXPECTANCY.4: Sex gap in life expectancies, by age group, 2003 and 2022

Column chart showing how sex gap in life expectancy changed from 2003 to 2022, for total life expectancy, expected years without disability, and expected years without severe or profound disability.

Select view

Source: AIHW analysis of ABS 2019a, 2019b, 2023, and 2024. Data tables: Disability-free life expectancy, Table DFLE3.

https://www.aihw.gov.au/